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Gold to Oil Ratio

How many barrels of crude oil can one ounce of gold buy?

Current Gold:Oil Ratio
Gold Strong / Oil Cheap
68.4:1

1 oz of gold buys 68.4 barrels of crude oil

Gold Spot
$4,925.49
Crude Oil (WTI)
$72.00/barrel

Historical Gold:Oil Ratio (2020-2026)

Gold:Oil Ratio

What Does the Current Ratio Mean?

6 (Oil Expensive) 15 (Average) 25 50+ (Oil Cheap)
Below 12

Oil is expensive relative to gold. Often seen during oil supply shocks or geopolitical crises affecting oil production.

12-25

Normal historical range. Both commodities are fairly valued relative to their historical relationship.

Above 25

Gold is strong relative to oil, or oil is cheap. Seen during oil gluts, recessions, or gold bull markets.

Historical Gold:Oil Ratio Events

Year Ratio Event
1970 6.5:1 Pre-oil crisis
1974 15.0:1 First oil crisis
1980 22.0:1 Gold peak, oil at $40
1986 27.0:1 Oil price collapse
1990 12.0:1 Gulf War
1998 30.0:1 Oil at $10, Asian crisis
2000 9.0:1 Oil recovery
2008 7.0:1 Oil at $147 peak
2009 24.0:1 Post-financial crisis
2011 16.0:1 Gold at $1,900
2014 12.0:1 Oil still high
2016 47.0:1 Oil crash to $26
2018 18.0:1 Oil recovery
2020 85.0:1 COVID oil crash (briefly negative!)
2022 17.0:1 Ukraine war, oil spike
2024 32.0:1 Gold rally, oil moderate
2026 68.4:1 Current

Understanding the Gold:Oil Ratio

The Gold to Oil ratio compares two of the world's most important commodities. Gold represents monetary value and a store of wealth, while oil represents energy and economic activity.

The ratio tends to spike when oil crashes (like in 2020 when oil briefly went negative) or when gold rallies strongly. It tends to fall when oil prices surge (like in 2008 when oil hit $147/barrel).

Why This Ratio Matters

  • Economic indicator: A very high ratio may signal recession or deflation concerns
  • Mean reversion: Extreme readings tend to revert to the historical average
  • Energy vs money: Shows the relative value of real assets vs monetary metals

The 2020 Anomaly

In April 2020, WTI crude oil futures briefly traded at negative $37/barrel—traders were paying others to take oil off their hands due to storage constraints. This caused the Gold:Oil ratio to briefly become undefined (or infinite). Even using the spot price around $20, the ratio exceeded 85:1, an all-time extreme.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Gold to Oil Ratio?

The Gold to Oil ratio is calculated by dividing the price of one ounce of gold by the price of one barrel of crude oil (usually WTI). It shows how many barrels of oil one ounce of gold can purchase.

What is the average Gold to Oil ratio?

The historical average is approximately 15-16:1, meaning one ounce of gold typically buys about 15-16 barrels of oil. However, the ratio has ranged from 6:1 (when oil was very expensive) to over 85:1 (during the 2020 oil crash).

How can investors use this ratio?

Some investors use extreme readings as contrarian signals. A very high ratio (oil cheap) might suggest oil is undervalued; a very low ratio (oil expensive) might suggest gold is undervalued. However, timing commodities is difficult, and the ratio can stay extreme for extended periods.